Polar Week Fall 2016 Figure Competition

Spatial modelling of the mean annual ground surface (MAGST) on the plateau of Mont Jacques-Cartier (Gaspé Peninsula, Quebec) according to the mean annual air temperature (MAAT) for the 1980-2012 normal period ; and for 3 scenarios of MAAT rise (1 °C, 2°C and 3 °C warmer than the normal). The black line represents the 0 °C isotherm, which delimits the areas with favourable surface conditions for permafrost preservation. Note that the “+1°C scenario” is close to the current conditions.